Assessing the Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Effect of Removing Bovine Trypanosomiasis in Eastern Africa

Michael MacLeod, Vera Eory, William Wint, Alexandra Shaw, Pierre J. Gerber, Giuliano Cecchi, Raffaele Mattioli, Alasdair Sykes and Timothy Robinson
Additional contact information
Michael MacLeod: Land Economy, Environment and Society Group, SRUC, Edinburgh EH9 3JG, UK
Vera Eory: Land Economy, Environment and Society Group, SRUC, Edinburgh EH9 3JG, UK
William Wint: Department of Zoology, Environmental Research Group Oxford (ERGO), South Parks Road, Oxford OX1 3PS, UK
Alexandra Shaw: AP Consultants, 22 Walworth Enterprise Centre, Duke Close, Andover SP10 5AP, UK
Pierre J. Gerber: The World Bank Group, Agriculture and Food Global Practice, 1818 H Street N.W., Washington, DC 20433, USA
Giuliano Cecchi: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Sub-regional Office for Eastern Africa, CMC Road, P.O. Box 5536, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Raffaele Mattioli: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Animal Production and Health Division, Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00153 Rome, Italy
Alasdair Sykes: Land Economy, Environment and Society Group, SRUC, Edinburgh EH9 3JG, UK
Timothy Robinson: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Animal Production and Health Division, Viale delle Terme di Caracalla, 00153 Rome, Italy

Sustainability, 2018, vol. 10, issue 5, 1-15

Abstract: Increasing the production of meat and milk within sub-Saharan Africa should provide significant food security benefits. However, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions represent a challenge, as cattle production in the region typically has high emissions intensity (EI), i.e., high rates of GHG emissions per unit of output. The high EI is caused by the relatively low production efficiencies in the region, which are in turn partly due to endemic cattle diseases. In theory, improved disease control should increase the efficiency and decrease the emissions intensity of livestock production; however quantitative analysis of the potential GHG mitigation effects of improved disease control in Africa is lacking. This paper seeks to respond to this by using a hybrid modelling approach to quantify the production and emissions effects of removing trypanosomiasis from East African cattle production systems. The emissions are quantified for each cattle production system using an excel version of GLEAM, the Food and Agriculture Organization’s Global Livestock Environmental Assessment Model. The results indicate that removing trypanosomiasis leads to a reduction in the emissions intensity per unit of protein produced of between 0% and 8%, driven mainly by the increases in milk yields and cow fertility rates. Despite the limitations, it is argued that the approach provides considerable scope for modelling the GHG impacts of disease interventions.

Keywords: cattle health; climate change; livestock modelling; GLEAM; sustainable intensification (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

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