The Effects of an Energy Use Paradigm Shift on Carbon Emissions: A Simulation Study

Yuzhe Wu, Jiaojiao Luo, Liyin Shen and Martin Skitmore
Additional contact information
Yuzhe Wu: Department of Land Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China
Jiaojiao Luo: Department of Land Management, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou 310058, China
Liyin Shen: School of Construction Management and Real Estate, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China
Martin Skitmore: School of Civil Engineering and Built Environment, Queensland University of Technology (QUT), Brisbane 4000, Australia

Sustainability, 2018, vol. 10, issue 5, 1-18

Abstract: Carbon dioxide emissions in developing countries are closely tied to their economy and play a crucial role in the world’s future emissions. In this paper, we put forward an alternative energy use paradigm shift of low-carbon emissions from operational, governance, institutional, and cultural viewpoints (OGIC). An urbanization factor is introduced into the Kaya identity, and three simulations are conducted to forecast the carbon footprint and to explore the effects of the energy use paradigm shift policy. The simulation results show that, in the context of the energy use paradigm shift, the years 2015 and 2024 are the two inflection points that separate the carbon footprint into three periods of extensive consumption (2000–2015), early energy transition (2016–2023), and late energy transition (2024–2030). Overall, the peak carbon emission value is forecasted to appear during the third stage. The findings are expected to demonstrate the effects of the energy use paradigm shift on carbon emissions and assist policy makers formulate a scientific policy framework for low carbon development.

Keywords: low carbon emissions; energy use paradigm shift; Kaya identity; OGIC analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/5/1639/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/5/1639/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:5:p:1639-:d:147920

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().