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Fully Dynamic Input-Output/System Dynamics Modeling for Ecological-Economic System Analysis

Takuro Uehara (), Mateo Cordier () and Bertrand Hamaide ()
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Takuro Uehara: College of Policy Science, Ritsumeikan University, 2-150 Iwakura-Cho, Ibaraki City, 567-8570 Osaka, Japan
Mateo Cordier: Research Centre Cultures–Environnements–Arctique–Représentations–Climat (CEARC), Université de Versailles-Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines, UVSQ, 11 Boulevard d’Alembert, 78280 Guyancourt, France
Bertrand Hamaide: Centre de Recherche en Economie (CEREC), Université Saint-Louis, 43 Boulevard du Jardin botanique, 1000 Brussels, Belgium

Sustainability, 2018, vol. 10, issue 6, 1-22

Abstract: The complexity of ecological-economic systems significantly reduces our ability to investigate their behavior and propose policies aimed at various environmental and/or economic objectives. Following recent suggestions for integrating nonlinear dynamic modeling with input-output (IO) modeling, we develop a fully dynamic ecological-economic model by integrating IO with system dynamics (SD) for better capturing critical attributes of ecological-economic systems. We also develop and evaluate various scenarios using policy impact and policy sensitivity analyses. The model and analysis are applied to the degradation of fish nursery habitats by industrial harbors in the Seine estuary (Haute-Normandie region, France). The modeling technique, dynamization, and scenarios allow us to show trade-offs between economic and ecological outcomes and evaluate the impacts of restoration scenarios and water quality improvement on the fish population.

Keywords: system dynamics; input-output; ecological-economic modeling; scenario development; policy impact analysis; policy sensitivity analysis; estuary (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 O13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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