Electric Bicycle Lane-Changing Behavior under Strategy Games

Haipeng Shao, Jiangping Wang, Yin Wang and Sitian Chen
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Haipeng Shao: School of Highway, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China
Jiangping Wang: School of Highway, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China
Yin Wang: Baker Tilly China Certified Public Accountants (Xinjiang Branch), Urumqi 830000, China
Sitian Chen: School of Highway, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China

Sustainability, 2018, vol. 10, issue 9, 1-12

Abstract: The random lane-changing behavior of electric bicycles brings a great safety hazard to urban transportation: According to the national traffic accident statistics in 2015, 8.22% of traffic accidents are caused by non-motor vehicle violations. Among them, the accident rate caused by electric bicycles is as high as 78%. In order to effectively analyze and quantify the risk of this lane-changing behavior, based on the non-cooperative strategy model under complete information, a Z-test of the speed before and after the “illegal” lane-changing behavior was carried out by using the data of the mixed-flow sections of Xi’an city. Constructing the judgment matrix to determine the weight value of motor vehicles’ game strategy and constructing the charge matrix, the utility income analysis of the electric bicycle and the affected motor vehicle is made by using the payment function, and the exceeding conflict model is established to quantify the risk level of the conflict number in the unit road. It is verified that the “illegal” lane-changing behavior of electric bicycles is a goal-oriented behavior for obtaining greater desired speed.

Keywords: lane-changing behavior; strategic game model; Z-Test; conflict model; expected speed (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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