Economics at your fingertips  

Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector

Rangan Gupta (), Zhihui Lv () and Wing-Keung Wong ()
Additional contact information
Zhihui Lv: KLASMOE & School of Mathematics and Statistics, Northeast Normal University, Changchun 130024, China

Sustainability, 2019, vol. 11, issue 10, 1-12

Abstract: Unlike the existing literature, which primarily studies the impact of only monetary policy shocks on real estate investment trusts (REITs), this paper develops a change-point vector autoregressive (VAR) model and then analyzes, for the first time, regime-specific impact of demand, supply, monetary policy, and spread yield shocks, identified using sign-restrictions, on US REITs returns. The model first isolates four major macroeconomic regimes in the US since the 1970s and discloses important changes to the statistical properties of REITs returns and its responses to the identified shocks. A variance decomposition analysis revealed aggregate supply shocks to have dominated in the early part of the sample period, and monetary policy and spread shocks at the end. Our results imply that ignoring other possible shocks in the model is likely to lead to incorrect inferences, and over-reliance on (conventional) monetary policy in correcting for possible bubbles in the REITs sector, which it will fail to rectify, given the importance of other shocks driving the REITs sector.

Keywords: change-point VAR model; macroeconomic shocks; US REITs sector (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 O13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link) (application/pdf) (text/html)

Related works:
Working Paper: Macroeconomic Shocks and Changing Dynamics of the U.S. REITs Sector (2018)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link:

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Prof. Dr. Marc A. Rosen

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI, Open Access Journal
Bibliographic data for series maintained by XML Conversion Team ().

Page updated 2019-10-15
Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:10:p:2776-:d:231284