Assessing the Vulnerabilities of Current and Future Production Systems in Punjab, Pakistan

Syed Asif Ali Naqvi, Abdul Majeed Nadeem, Muhammad Amjed Iqbal, Sadia Ali and Asia Naseem
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Syed Asif Ali Naqvi: Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan
Abdul Majeed Nadeem: Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan
Muhammad Amjed Iqbal: Institute of Agricultural and Resource Economics, University of Agriculture, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan
Sadia Ali: Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan
Asia Naseem: Department of Economics, Government College University Faisalabad, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan

Sustainability, 2019, vol. 11, issue 19, 1-13

Abstract: Mankind is in peril and there are many reasons for this; however, climate change precedes all other reasons. Problems of poor farming communities are augmented due to the menace of climate change. This study endeavors to determine the effect on farming communities of both climate change and a situation without climate change. To carry out the study, three different districts were selected (Rawalpindi, Chakwal, and Layyah). Impact of the climate vagaries on per capita income, farm returns, and poverty of the respondents was taken into consideration. To achieve pathways analysis, regional representative agricultural pathways were used. The decision support system for agrotechnology transfer (DSSAT) crop growth model was employed for wheat-related simulations. The tradeoff analysis model for multidimensional impact assessment (TOA-MD) model was used for economic analysis. The results lend credence to the aforementioned nuisance of climate change, as the findings which came through were negatively affecting farm returns, per capita income, and poverty of the farmers. The negative impact applies to both current and future production systems. Farmers are up against the wall because of climate change and they will have to adopt new innovations to raise their productivity.

Keywords: climate; Punjab; adaptations; poverty; income; wheat (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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