Analysis of Emergency Evacuation Modal Choice Behavior with Spatial Indicators: Case Study in Xi’an, China

Zhihao Duan, Jinliang Xu, Han Ru, Yaping Dong and Xingliang Liu
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Zhihao Duan: College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China
Jinliang Xu: College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China
Han Ru: College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China
Yaping Dong: College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China
Xingliang Liu: College of Highway Engineering, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, China

Sustainability, 2019, vol. 11, issue 24, 1-10

Abstract: To reduce the impact of a natural or man-made disaster, an evacuation is often implemented to transfer the population in the potentially impacted area to a safe zone. Evacuation is an effective measure for dealing with emergency events. This paper presents a multinomial logit model for modal choice behavior in a short-notice emergency evacuation, which incorporates spatial indicators into the utility function. The study examined the determinants of evacuees’ modal choice for three evacuation distances and analyzed determinants impacting the mechanism of the modal choice decision process. The data collected in Xi’an was used to provide empirical evidence for the relationship between spatial indicators and modal choice behavior. The findings of this study will help emergency planners and policy-makers develop strategies for evacuation planning and will enable a better understanding of emergency modal choice behaviors.

Keywords: modal choice behavior; spatial indicators; logit analysis; emergency evacuation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2019
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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