Bicycle-Vehicle Conflict Risk Based on Cyclist Perceptions: Misestimations of Various Risk Factors

Chengcheng Wu, Dawei Chen and Ye Chen
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Chengcheng Wu: School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China
Dawei Chen: School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China
Ye Chen: School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China

Sustainability, 2020, vol. 12, issue 23, 1-12

Abstract: Cycling is a sustainable but vulnerable mode of transportation. Intersections’ bicycle-vehicle crashes are particularly dangerous. This paper explores the discordance between empirical evidence and cyclists’ perceptions of the various risk factors of cycling. Ridge regression was adopted to identify risk factors from bicycle-vehicle conflict data. A questionnaire was distributed to assess cyclists’ perceptions of safety and danger over the same candidate risk factors. There was indeed discordance between the data and the questionnaire results. Cyclists appear to misestimate risk in certain factors such as bus stops and subway stations. Understanding these misestimations can provide a foundation for safety improvements and for promoting cycling as a sustainable mode of transportation.

Keywords: bicycle safety; risk analysis; traffic conflicts; risk perception (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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