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“License Plate Lottery”: Why Are People So Keen to Participate in It?

Junze Zhu, Hongzhi Guan, Mingyang Hao, Zhengtao Qin and Ange Wang
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Junze Zhu: Faculty of Urban Construction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Hongzhi Guan: Faculty of Urban Construction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Mingyang Hao: Faculty of Urban Construction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Zhengtao Qin: Faculty of Urban Construction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China
Ange Wang: Faculty of Urban Construction, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, China

Sustainability, 2021, vol. 13, issue 23, 1-16

Abstract: Vehicle purchase restriction policies greatly influence people’s behavior, especially their participation in the license plate lottery. This paper focuses on the socioeconomic characteristics and psychological factors of citizens participating in the license plate lottery, which can serve as a reference for policy makers aiming to guide rational participation in the lottery. A Multi-Index and Multi-Causal model were established based on social psychology, combined with the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB). Perceived car necessity, perceived behavioral control, car ownership attitude and subjective norms were regarded as four latent psychological variables. Furthermore, the behaviors of license plate lottery participants in cities with purchase restriction policies were statistically analyzed from the perspectives of personal socioeconomic characteristics and psychological factors. The empirical research results reveal that the socioeconomic attributes of citizens have different degrees of influence on latent variables. Perceived car necessity is observed to have a significant direct impact on a citizen’s behavioral intention to participate in the lottery, which is also affected by perceived behavioral control. Car ownership attitude has the strongest impact on citizen behavior towards participating in the license plate lottery, followed by subjective norms, perceived behavioral control, and perceived car necessity. More specifically, the economic benefit associated with perceived behavioral control is identified as the critical factor in further promoting participation in the license plate lottery.

Keywords: vehicle purchase restriction policy; license plate lottery; psychological factor; multiple indicators and multiple causes; Theory of Planned Behavior; social psychology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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