Evaluation of Online Communities for Technology Foresight: Data-Driven Approach Based on Expertise and Diversity

Youngjun Kim and Changho Son ()
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Youngjun Kim: Samsung SDS, Seoul 05510, Korea
Changho Son: Department of Weapon System Engineering, Korea Army Academy at Yeong-Cheon, Yeongcheon-si 770-849, Korea

Sustainability, 2022, vol. 14, issue 20, 1-13

Abstract: This study proposes a framework for selecting and validating data sources for public-based technology foresight. In other words, it finds out which of the many online communities have valuable data sources. Specifically, we evaluate the usefulness of text data from online communities for technology foresight in terms of expertise and diversity. To this end, not only is a bibliographic analysis using metadata conducted, but also, topic modeling techniques for a semantic analysis of texts are utilized. As a case study, we selected 20 candidate communities where discussions and predictions related to technology are made and applied newly proposed metrics. As a contribution of this study, it is expected that it will provide a basis for public participation in technology foresight, not only leaving it to a few experts.

Keywords: technology foresight; online communities; emerging technologies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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