A Statistical Analysis of the Migration Process: A Case Study—Romania

Rodica Pripoaie, Carmen-Mihaela Cretu, Anca-Gabriela Turtureanu, Carmen-Gabriela Sirbu, Emanuel Ştefan Marinescu, Laurentiu-Gabriel Talaghir, Florentina Chițu and Daniela Monica Robu
Additional contact information
Rodica Pripoaie: Faculty of Law and Administrative Sciences, “Dunărea de Jos” University of Galati, 800008 Galati, Romania
Carmen-Mihaela Cretu: Faculty of Economic Sciences, Danubius University of Galati, 800654 Galati, Romania
Anca-Gabriela Turtureanu: Faculty of Economic Sciences, Danubius University of Galati, 800654 Galati, Romania
Carmen-Gabriela Sirbu: Faculty of Economic Sciences, Danubius University of Galati, 800654 Galati, Romania
Emanuel Ştefan Marinescu: Faculty of Communication and International Relations, Danubius University of Galati, 800654 Galati, Romania
Laurentiu-Gabriel Talaghir: Faculty of Physical Education and Sport, “Dunărea de Jos” University of Galati, 800008 Galati, Romania
Florentina Chițu: The Economics and International Business Doctoral School, Bucharest University of Economic Studies, 010374 Bucharest, Romania
Daniela Monica Robu: Press Department of Danubius University of Galati, Faculty of Communication and International Relations, Danubius University, 800654 Galati, Romania

Sustainability, 2022, vol. 14, issue 5, 1-27

Abstract: The research aims at studying and predicting the migration process in Romania over the last 20 years and at identifying the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. The study analyzes several models for estimating migration through linear regression, but also a VAR (Vector autoregression) analysis, as the variables can influence each other. Vector autoregression (VAR) is also used to model multivariate time series, and it can analyze the dynamics of a migration process. Therefore, the best model for forecasting the migration process in Romania is Model 1 of linear regression. This phenomenon generates many positive and negative economic, demographic and political effects. The migration process has become particularly important for Romania in the last 20 years, and its socio-economic, political and cultural effects affect the Romanian state. That is why flexible policies are needed in order to be coherent, to have as main purpose keeping specialists in the country in certain basic economic fields, as well to implement measures to determine the return of specialists and students who have left to study abroad.

Keywords: migration; standard of living; GDP per capita disparity; NEETs unemployment rate (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:5:p:2784-:d:759854

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