The Impact of Temperature and Precipitation Change on the Production of Grapes in the Czech Republic

Kamila Veselá, Lucie Severová and Roman Svoboda
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Kamila Veselá: Department of Economic Theories, Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcká 129, 165 00 Prague, Czech Republic
Lucie Severová: Department of Economic Theories, Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcká 129, 165 00 Prague, Czech Republic
Roman Svoboda: Department of Economic Theories, Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Kamýcká 129, 165 00 Prague, Czech Republic

Sustainability, 2022, vol. 14, issue 6, 1-15

Abstract: The warming of the planet and ongoing climate change are now a scientifically proven fact. These phenomena have an impact on nature and many human activities, but logically affect agriculture the most. History has confirmed that the production of grapes (the extent and quality) is significantly affected by climate change. The main goal of this study was to evaluate the impact of climate change through changes in average precipitation and average temperatures on the quantity of grape production in the Czech Republic. A partial goal was then to predict the future development of grape production depending on the expected total precipitation and average temperatures. The effect of changes in average temperatures and total precipitation was evaluated using multiple linear regression methods. The multiple regression model did not reveal a dependence of the total precipitation and average temperatures on the development of the value of vine production due to the statistical insignificance of the effect of average temperatures on the value of vine production. However, when abstracting the effect of average temperatures on the value of vine production, the research confirmed the effect of the change in total precipitation on the value of vine production. The analysis identified the effect of changes in total precipitation and temperatures on the production of grapes in the Czech Republic.

Keywords: climate change; growing season; precipitation; prediction; production; temperature; vine (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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