European Green Deal: Threats Assessment for Agri-Food Exporting Countries to the EU

Oleksandr Faichuk, Lesia Voliak, Taras Hutsol, Szymon Glowacki, Yuriy Pantsyr, Sergii Slobodian, Anna Szeląg-Sikora and Zofia Gródek-Szostak
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Oleksandr Faichuk: Department of Administrative Management and Foreign Economic Activity, Faculty of Agrarian Management, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine, 03-041 Kyiv, Ukraine
Lesia Voliak: Department of Statistics and Economic Analysis, Faculty of Economics, National University of Life and Environmental Sciences of Ukraine, 03-041 Kyiv, Ukraine
Taras Hutsol: Department of Mechanics and Agroecosystems Engineering, Polissia National University, 10-008 Zhytomyr, Ukraine
Szymon Glowacki: Institute of Mechanical Engineering, Warsaw University of Life Sciences-SGGW, 02-787 Warsaw, Poland
Yuriy Pantsyr: Faculty of Engineering and Technology, Higher Educational Institution “Podillia State University”, 32-300 Kamianets-Podilskyi, Ukraine
Sergii Slobodian: Institute of Energy, Higher Educational Institution “Podillia State University”, 32-300 Kamianets-Podilskyi, Ukraine
Anna Szeląg-Sikora: Department of Production Engineering, Logistics and Applied Computer Science, Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture in Kraków, Balicka 116B, 30-149 Krakow, Poland
Zofia Gródek-Szostak: Department of Economics and Enterprise Organization, Cracow University of Economics, 31-510 Krakow, Poland

Sustainability, 2022, vol. 14, issue 7, 1-17

Abstract: This article is devoted to assessing and substantiating the threats for countries/exporters of agricultural products to the EU under conditions of the European Green Deal. The revealed comparative advantages index (RCA), comparison method, correlation and regression analysis, and taxonomic method have been applied. According to the RCA index the main causes for the relatively significant volume of agri-food exports by some countries to the EU have been identified; using the comparison method it was found that among the leading countries by agricultural products export to the EU, many states do not meet the European Green Deal target criteria for agriculture. Correlation and regression analysis has revealed that among the chosen factors only the volume of fertilisers use per cropland has direct and strong influence on CO2eq emissions; by a taxonomic method the threats value for the leading agri-food exporters to the EU has been calculated. The major agri-food exporters to the EU under conditions of the European Green Deal targets till 2030 have a high threat regarding reduction of their supply to the Member States in the case of a possible Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism or the introduction of other import restriction mechanisms in future. The results of the study can be used by the government and other executive bodies of the analysed countries to make adequate and rapid decisions to avoid the threats of possible agri-food exports reduction to the EU under the further European Green Deal implementation.

Keywords: European Green Deal; agri-food export; threats; taxonomic method; correlation; regression; reveled comparative advantages; carbon border adjustment mechanism; GHG emissions; fertilisers (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (4)

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