Bivariate-Logit-Based Severity Analysis for Motorcycle Crashes in Texas, 2017–2021

Khondoker Billah, Hatim O. Sharif () and Samer Dessouky
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Khondoker Billah: School of Civil and Environmental Engineering and Construction Management, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX 78249, USA
Hatim O. Sharif: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX 78249, USA
Samer Dessouky: Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX 78249, USA

Sustainability, 2023, vol. 15, issue 13, 1-26

Abstract: Due to the number of severe traffic collisions involving motorcycles, a comprehensive investigation is required to determine their causes. This study analyzed Texas crash data from 2017 to 2021 to determine who was at fault and how various factors affect the frequency and severity of motorcycle collisions. Moreover, the study tried to identify high-risk sites for motorcycle crashes. Utilizing bivariate analysis and logistic regression models, the study investigated the individual and combined effects of several variables. Heat maps and hotspot analyses were used to identify locations with a high incidence of both minor and severe motorcycle crashes. The survey showed that dangerous speed, inattention, lane departure, and failing to surrender the right-of-way at a stop sign or during a left turn were the leading causes of motorcycle crashes. When a motorcyclist was at fault, the likelihood of severe collisions was much higher. The study revealed numerous elements as strong predictors of catastrophic motorcycle crashes, including higher speed limits, poor illumination, darkness during the weekend, dividers or designated lanes as the principal road traffic control, an increased age of the primary crash victim, and the lack of a helmet. The concentration of motorcycle collisions was found to be relatively high in city cores, whereas clusters of severe motorcycle collisions were detected on road segments beyond city limits. This study recommends implementing reduced speed limits on high-risk segments, mandating helmet use, prioritizing resource allocation to high-risk locations, launching educational campaigns to promote safer driving practices and the use of protective gear, and inspecting existing conditions as well as the road geometry of high-risk locations to reduce the incidence and severity of motorcycle crashes.

Keywords: motorcycle; motor vehicle; crashes; fatalities; logistic regression; bivariate analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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