A Review of Modern Wind Power Generation Forecasting Technologies

Wen-Chang Tsai, Chih-Ming Hong (), Chia-Sheng Tu, Whei-Min Lin and Chiung-Hsing Chen
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Wen-Chang Tsai: School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Tan Kah Kee College, Xiamen University, Zhangzhou 363105, China
Chih-Ming Hong: Department of Telecommunication Engineering, National Kaohsiung University of Science and Technology, Kaohsiung 811213, Taiwan
Chia-Sheng Tu: School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Tan Kah Kee College, Xiamen University, Zhangzhou 363105, China
Whei-Min Lin: School of Mechanical and Electrical Engineering, Tan Kah Kee College, Xiamen University, Zhangzhou 363105, China
Chiung-Hsing Chen: Department of Telecommunication Engineering, National Kaohsiung University of Science and Technology, Kaohsiung 811213, Taiwan

Sustainability, 2023, vol. 15, issue 14, 1-40

Abstract: The prediction of wind power output is part of the basic work of power grid dispatching and energy distribution. At present, the output power prediction is mainly obtained by fitting and regressing the historical data. The medium- and long-term power prediction results exhibit large deviations due to the uncertainty of wind power generation. In order to meet the demand for accessing large-scale wind power into the electricity grid and to further improve the accuracy of short-term wind power prediction, it is necessary to develop models for accurate and precise short-term wind power prediction based on advanced algorithms for studying the output power of a wind power generation system. This paper summarizes the contribution of the current advanced wind power forecasting technology and delineates the key advantages and disadvantages of various wind power forecasting models. These models have different forecasting capabilities, update the weights of each model in real time, improve the comprehensive forecasting capability of the model, and have good application prospects in wind power generation forecasting. Furthermore, the case studies and examples in the literature for accurately predicting ultra-short-term and short-term wind power generation with uncertainty and randomness are reviewed and analyzed. Finally, we present prospects for future studies that can serve as useful directions for other researchers planning to conduct similar experiments and investigations.

Keywords: predictive models; weather research and forecasting (WRF); uncertainty; wind forecasting; ultra short term and short term; wind power generation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (5)

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