Climate-Risk Assessment Framework for Airports under Extreme Precipitation Events: Application to Selected Italian Case Studies

Carmela De Vivo (), Giuliana Barbato, Marta Ellena, Vincenzo Capozzi, Giorgio Budillon and Paola Mercogliano
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Carmela De Vivo: Regional Models and Geo-Hydrological Impacts Division (REMHI), Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), 81100 Caserta, Italy
Giuliana Barbato: Regional Models and Geo-Hydrological Impacts Division (REMHI), Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), 81100 Caserta, Italy
Marta Ellena: Regional Models and Geo-Hydrological Impacts Division (REMHI), Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), 81100 Caserta, Italy
Vincenzo Capozzi: Department of Science and Technology, University of Naples “Parthenope”, Centro Direzionale di Napoli—Isola C4, 80143 Naples, Italy
Giorgio Budillon: Department of Science and Technology, University of Naples “Parthenope”, Centro Direzionale di Napoli—Isola C4, 80143 Naples, Italy
Paola Mercogliano: Regional Models and Geo-Hydrological Impacts Division (REMHI), Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), 81100 Caserta, Italy

Sustainability, 2023, vol. 15, issue 9, 1-23

Abstract: Extreme weather phenomena are increasing due to climate change and having a severe impact on critical infrastructure, including airports. In this context, conducting climate risk assessments is an essential step to implement appropriate adaptation strategies. In the present study, a climate-risk assessment framework is applied to evaluate the risk of extreme precipitation events for specific Italian airports: Malpensa, Bergamo, Linate, Fiumicino, Ciampino, Napoli, Catania, Palermo, and Cagliari. This analysis is based on the definition of risk as reported by Sixth Assessment Report of IPCC. The assessment of the climate hazard over the recent-past period (1981–2010) is evaluated through indicators developed from re-analysis data, using the Uncertainties in Ensemble of Regional Re-Analyses dataset are provided by Copernicus Climate Change Service. The expected climate variations are evaluated using an ensemble of high-resolution climate projections from the EURO-CORDEX initiative for the short- (2021–2050), medium- (2041–2070), and long-term future period (2071–2100), under RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5 climate scenarios. The information related to exposure and vulnerability indicators are collected from official documents and website of selected airports, and are freely available. The final risk index provides elements allowing stakeholders to implement adaptation measures to increase their resilience.

Keywords: climate change; risk assessment; extreme precipitation; airports; adaptation; critical infrastructures; Italy (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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