Projected Summer Tourism Potential of the Black Sea Region

Mustafa Tufan Turp (), Nazan An, Başak Bilgin, Gamze Şimşir, Bora Orgen and Mehmet Levent Kurnaz
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Mustafa Tufan Turp: Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
Nazan An: Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
Başak Bilgin: Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
Gamze Şimşir: Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
Bora Orgen: Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye
Mehmet Levent Kurnaz: Center for Climate Change and Policy Studies, Boğaziçi University, 34342 Istanbul, Türkiye

Sustainability, 2023, vol. 16, issue 1, 1-17

Abstract: The impacts of climate change and the extent of their consequences exhibit regional variability. The negative effects of climate change on the tourism industry require a comprehensive examination of the vulnerabilities of tourism–dependent countries. Considering that the tourism sector is an important source of income for these countries, it is imperative to evaluate the potential consequences of climate change. Its effects may lead to changes in the location and popularity of tourist destinations and the timing of the tourism season. If popular coastal destinations cannot respond effectively to the impacts of climate change, alternative tourism destinations need to be explored to reduce financial losses. This study aims to assess the potential of the Black Sea coasts as an alternative tourism destination. The evaluation was conducted using the Holiday Climate Index (HCI), a prominent indicator for determining human comfort. The research showed that Türkiye’s Black Sea coast may have the necessary comfort level for beach tourism in the summer season and may be attractive for more tourists considering the positive relationship between arrival and overnight stay and tourist comfort.

Keywords: summer tourism and climate change; coastal tourism; Holiday Climate Index; alternative tourism destinations; tourism in Türkiye; tourism in Black Sea; sustainable tourism (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2023
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