Quantitative Carbon Emission Prediction Model to Limit Embodied Carbon from Major Building Materials in Multi-Story Buildings

Qimiao Xie, Qidi Jiang (), Jarek Kurnitski, Jiahang Yang, Zihao Lin and Shiqi Ye
Additional contact information
Qimiao Xie: School of Civil Engineering, Sichuan University Jinjiang College, Meishan 620860, China
Qidi Jiang: Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Tallinn University of Technology, 19086 Tallinn, Estonia
Jarek Kurnitski: Department of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Tallinn University of Technology, 19086 Tallinn, Estonia
Jiahang Yang: School of Emergency Management, Xihua University, Chengdu 610039, China
Zihao Lin: School of Civil Engineering, Sichuan University Jinjiang College, Meishan 620860, China
Shiqi Ye: School of Civil Engineering, Sichuan University Jinjiang College, Meishan 620860, China

Sustainability, 2024, vol. 16, issue 13, 1-21

Abstract: As the largest contributor of carbon emissions in China, the building sector currently relies mostly on enterprises’ own efforts to report carbon emissions, which usually results in challenges related to information transparency and workload for regulatory bodies, who play an otherwise vital role in controlling the building sector’s carbon footprint. In this study, we established a novel regulatory model known as QCEPM (Quantitative Carbon Emission Prediction Model) by conducting multiple linear regression analysis using the quantities of concrete, rebar, and masonry structures as independent variables and the embodied carbon emissions of a building as the dependent variable. We processed the data in the detailed quantity list of 20 multi-story frame structure buildings and fed them to the QCEPM for the solution. Comparison of the QCEPM-calculated results against the time-consuming and error-prone manual calculation results suggested a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 2.36%. Using this simplified model, regulatory bodies can efficiently supervise the embodied carbon emissions in multi-story frame structures by setting up a carbon quota for a project in its approval stage, allowing the construction enterprise to carry out dynamic control over the three most important audited building materials throughout a project’s planning and implementation phase.

Keywords: regulatory model; building LCA; embodied carbon emissions; low-carbon construction technology; environmental impact assessment (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/13/5575/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/16/13/5575/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:16:y:2024:i:13:p:5575-:d:1425513

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().