Dynamic Interactive Effects of Technological Innovation, Transportation Industry Development, and CO 2 Emissions

Kaige An, Xiaowei Wang, Zhenning Wang, He Zhao, Yao Zhong, Jia Shen and Xiaohong Ren ()
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Kaige An: School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China
Xiaowei Wang: The Craig and Diane Martin National Center for Construction Safety, University of Kansas, Lawrence, KS 66045, USA
Zhenning Wang: School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China
He Zhao: School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China
Yao Zhong: School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China
Jia Shen: School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China
Xiaohong Ren: School of Economics and Management, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China

Sustainability, 2024, vol. 16, issue 19, 1-19

Abstract: This paper aims to clarify the intricate relationships between technological innovation, transportation industry development, and CO 2 emissions to facilitate a positive synergy among technology, the economy, and climate, advancing the fulfillment of the ‘double carbon’ goal. Utilizing panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2005 to 2020, we employ the panel vector autoregressive model using a generalized method of moments to empirically examine the dynamic interactive effects between these participants. The findings reveal that the transportation industry significantly promoted the inhibitory impact of technological innovation on CO 2 emissions. However, such reductions cannot counterbalance the rise in emissions from the transportation industry. Moreover, its effects varied significantly across regions. Specifically, transportation industry development within eastern China contributed to a shift in the local carbon emission effects from positive to negative under the positive influence of technological innovation. In the northeast, the transportation industry enhanced the inhibitory effect of technological innovation on CO 2 emissions. In contrast, across the western region, industrial development in transportation intensified the role of technological innovation in promoting CO 2 emissions. Furthermore, this work found that CO 2 emissions notably diminished the CO 2 reduction performance of technological innovation in the eastern part and enhanced this performance in the northeastern region. These findings further revealed the complex interplay between technological innovation, the transportation industry, and CO 2 emissions. They offer insights for policymakers to tailor region-specific technologies to bolster the ‘dual carbon’ goal and sustainable transportation development strategies, thereby achieving CO 2 reduction.

Keywords: technological innovation; transportation industry development; CO 2 emissions; PVAR-GMM; dynamic interactive effects; regional differences (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
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