The Impact of Climate Change on the Agricultural Sector in SADC Countries

Phetole Donald Semosa ()
Additional contact information
Phetole Donald Semosa: Development and Business Sciences, Faculty of Economics, School of Development Studies, University of Mpumalanga, Mbombela 1200, South Africa

Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, issue 11, 1-21

Abstract: Agriculture is a key sector for economic growth, food security, and rural livelihoods within the member nations of the Southern African Development Community (SADC). However, the agricultural systems throughout the SADC regions face serious threats from climate change, which is seen through temperature rises, irregular rainfall patterns, and the rising frequency of droughts. The study examines the impacts of climate change on agricultural productivity in four SADC countries: South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe, and Malawi. It also assesses the impact of institutional structures, policy initiatives, and technological advancements in enhancing agricultural resilience to climate change. The Panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (PARDL) model was employed to assess short and long run impact of climate change on agricultural productivity. The findings reveal that precipitation significantly increases agricultural productivity in the long run, but not in the short run. In addition, governance inefficiencies, which are measured by control of corruption index have negative long run impacts on agricultural productivity. The estimated speed of adjustment (ECT: −0.9557) demonstrated a strong long run equilibrium relationship, indicating that agricultural productivity converges to its long run trend regardless of short run fluctuations. In conclusion, the findings of this study provide essential knowledge to assist policymakers, researchers, and development agencies in the creation of evidence-based policies aimed at improving agricultural resilience to climate change across SADC member countries.

Keywords: climate change; agricultural productivity; Southern African development community; adaptation strategies; agricultural resilience (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/11/5177/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/11/5177/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:11:p:5177-:d:1671955

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().