Interruption Risk Propagation and Resilience Evaluation of Supply Chain of Emergency Medical Supplies Under Information Sharing Mechanism

Jing Bai, Jiahui Wang and Xingyuan Li ()
Additional contact information
Jing Bai: Economic and Management College, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao 066004, China
Jiahui Wang: Economic and Management College, Yanshan University, Qinhuangdao 066004, China
Xingyuan Li: Xinjiang Key Laboratory of Green Construction and Smart Traffic Control of Transportation Infrastructure, Xinjiang University, Wulumuqi 830017, China

Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, issue 12, 1-31

Abstract: In the new context of information sharing to reshape the supply chain’s interruption risk propagation mechanism, this paper focuses on the interruption risk propagation and resilience of the supply chain of emergency medical supplies in the background of emergencies. Firstly, an emergency supply chain’s risk propagation model under information sharing is proposed by combining the information sharing mechanism with the supply chain’s risk propagation theory. Secondly, an interruption risk propagation model for the supply chain of emergency medical supplies based on a Bayesian Network is constructed, and the do-calculus technique is introduced to transform the intervention effect of information sharing into the quantification of the supply chain’s risk probability. Thirdly, a system dynamics method is used to construct a supply chain model for emergency medical supplies, which takes into account different interruption scenarios caused by emergencies and evaluates the supply chain’s resilience through the key variable “demand fulfillment rate” in the model. The results of the study indicate that the impact of different types of interruption scenarios on supply chain resilience varies significantly. Information sharing can effectively reduce the negative impact of interruption risk. This study provides theoretical basis and practical guidance for improving the resilience of the supply chain of emergency medical supplies, which is of great significance for maintaining social stability and promoting the sustainable development of the public health system.

Keywords: information sharing; interruption risk propagation; emergency medical supplies’ supply chain; supply chain resilience; Bayesian network; system dynamics (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/12/5303/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/12/5303/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:12:p:5303-:d:1674512

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().