Resilience Assessment of Forest Fires Based on a Game-Theoretic Combination Weighting Method

Zhengtong Lv, Junqiao Xiong, Mingfu Zhuo, Yuxian Ke () and Qian Kang ()
Additional contact information
Zhengtong Lv: School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China
Junqiao Xiong: School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China
Mingfu Zhuo: School of Civil and Surveying & Mapping Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China
Yuxian Ke: School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China
Qian Kang: School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, Jiangxi University of Science and Technology, Ganzhou 341000, China

Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, issue 17, 1-24

Abstract: The increasing frequency and severity of forest fires, driven by climate change and intensified human activities, pose substantial threats to ecological security and sustainable development. However, most assessments remain centered on occurrence risk, lack a resilience-oriented perspective and comprehensive indicator systems, and therefore offer limited guidance for building system resilience. This study developed a forest fire resilience (FFR) assessment framework with 25 indicators in three levels and six domains across four resilience dimensions. Balancing expert judgment and data, we obtained indicator weights by integrating the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) via a game-theoretic scheme. The analysis revealed that, among the level-2 indicators, climate factors, infrastructure, and vegetation characteristics exert the greatest influence on FFR. At the level-3 indicator scale, monthly minimum relative humidity, fine fuel load per unit area, and the deployment of smart monitoring systems were critical. Among the four resilience dimensions, absorption capacity plays the predominant role in shaping disaster response. Building on these findings, the study proposes targeted strategies to enhance FFR and applies the assessment framework to twelve administrative divisions of Baise City, China, highlighting marked spatial variability in resilience levels. The results offer valuable theoretical insights and practical guidance for strengthening FFR.

Keywords: forest fire resilience; game theory; combination weights; forest sustainability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/17/7907/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/17/7907/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:17:p:7907-:d:1740766

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().