Integrating Neural Forecasting with Multi-Objective Optimization for Sustainable EV Infrastructure in Smart Cities

Saad Alharbi ()
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Saad Alharbi: Department of Computer Science, College of Computer Science and Engineering, Taibah University, Medina 42353, Saudi Arabia

Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, issue 20, 1-21

Abstract: The global transition toward carbon neutrality has accelerated the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), prompting the need for smarter infrastructure planning in urban environments. This study presents a novel framework that integrates machine learning–based EV adoption forecasting with multi-objective optimization (MOO) using the NSGA-II algorithm. The forecasting component leverages neural networks to predict the percentage of EV sales relative to total vehicle sales, which is then used to derive infrastructure demand, energy consumption, and traffic congestion. These derived forecasts inform the optimization model, which balances conflicting objectives—namely infrastructure costs, energy usage, and traffic congestion—to support data-driven decision-making for smart city planners. A comprehensive dataset covering EV metrics from 2011 to 2024 is used to validate the framework. Experimental results demonstrate strong predictive performance for EV adoption, while downstream derivations highlight expected patterns in infrastructure cost and energy usage, and greater variability in traffic congestion. The NSGA-II algorithm successfully identifies Pareto-optimal trade-offs, offering urban planners flexible strategies to align infrastructure development with sustainability goals. This research underscores the benefits of integrating adoption forecasting with optimization in dynamic, real-world planning contexts. These results can significantly inform future smart city planning and optimization of EV infrastructure deployment in rapidly urbanizing regions.

Keywords: multi-objective optimization; urban smart city planning; Non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II; neural networks; electric vehicles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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