A Study on Herders’ Satisfaction with the Transfer of Grassland Contracting Rights and Its Influencing Factors

Narenmandula Bao and Yufeng Zhang ()
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Narenmandula Bao: College of Geographical Sciences, Inner Mongolia Normal University, Hohhot 010022, China
Yufeng Zhang: College of Geographical Sciences, Inner Mongolia Normal University, Hohhot 010022, China

Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, issue 5, 1-21

Abstract: Grassland transfer is of great significance in promoting herders’ income, improving the ecological environment, promoting the socio-economic development of pastoral areas, and solving grass–animal conflicts. This paper takes West Ujimqin Banner, which is located in the typical grassland of Inner Mongolia, as a typical case, and analyzes the influencing factors of herders’ satisfaction with the transfer of grassland contracting rights through the field research data of herdsmen using a regression model and ROC curve. The study shows that herders’ satisfaction with the transfer of grassland contracting rights is high; the ROC curve test logistic model has a better prediction effect; and the factors that have a significant effect on herders’ satisfaction with the transfer of grassland contracting rights are gender, total annual income, annual non-herding income, whether the grassland is fully transferred, the rents, the satisfactory status of the grassland transfer policy, whether they are worried about not being able to find a job after the transfer, and other variables. Among them, gender has a small effect on herders’ grassland transfer satisfaction; variables such as rents, satisfactory status of the grassland transfer policy, and whether they are worried about not being able to find a job after the transfer have a medium effect on herders’ satisfaction; and variables such as total annual income, annual non-herding income, and whether the grassland is fully transferred have a large effect on herders’ satisfaction.

Keywords: herders; grassland contract management right transfer; satisfaction; regression model; ROC curve; influencing factors (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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