Efficiency of National Governance in Managing Long-Term Greenhouse Gas Emission Reduction in the Agricultural Sector Towards the Thailand 5.0 Goal

Pruethsan Sutthichaimethee, Phayom Saraphirom and Chaiyan Junsiri ()
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Pruethsan Sutthichaimethee: Department of Agricultural Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
Phayom Saraphirom: Department of Agricultural Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
Chaiyan Junsiri: Department of Agricultural Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Khon Kaen University, Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand

Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, issue 9, 1-28

Abstract: This study aimed to develop a strategic management model for the agricultural sector to effectively reduce greenhouse gas emissions in the future, primarily focusing on increasing agricultural waste. This study was built upon a model known as the Path Analysis with Simultaneous Equation System based on Full Information Maximum-Likelihood (Path-SFIML) Model, which has been thoroughly validated for its validity, measurement of model fit, and absence of spurious results. The findings revealed that the environmental sector is with the has low capacity to readjust to equilibrium, requiring thousands of years to recover. Therefore, this study proposes a new policy scenario for urgent national management through scenario planning. Based on the research results, the key indicators identified for scenario planning include clean technology, waste biomass, organic waste treatments, and renewable energy. These indicators must be prioritized to effectively manage the increase in agricultural waste. This study demonstrates that implementing these measures would reduce the growth rate of agricultural waste to 30.38% (2037/2018) and decrease the growth rate of greenhouse gas emissions to 36.20% (2037/2018). These rates remain within the national safety threshold, which is set at 1302 Gg CO 2 e. This study also derived strategic guidelines from stakeholders to enhance the dissemination of research findings and address gaps in quantitative research, enabling more appropriate strategy formulation. It was found that the key approach to defining the new scenario policy in this research is suitable but requires improvements in criminal law, administrative law, and environmental law to ensure they are relevant and enforceable in the present context. Hence, the 20 Year National Strategy must urgently adopt this critical tool for decision-making to achieve sustainable green environmental goals.

Keywords: agricultural waste; clean technology; smart environment; greenhouse gas emissions; sustainability policy; waste biomass (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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