Research on the Coordinated Development Path of Rural Energy Supply and Demand Under the Context of Rural Revitalization Based on the Asia-Pacific Integrated Model

Minwei Liu, Ziyi Xiao, Xiaoyu Liu (), Jincan Zeng, Qin Wang, Rongfeng Deng, Xi Liu, Guori Huang, Yuanzhe Zhu, Binghao He and Peng Wang ()
Additional contact information
Minwei Liu: Planning & Research Center for Power Grid, Yunnan Power Grid Corp., Kunming 650011, China
Ziyi Xiao: Guangzhou Institute of Energy Conversion, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China
Xiaoyu Liu: Guangzhou Institute of Energy Conversion, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China
Jincan Zeng: Energy Development Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid, Guangzhou 510663, China
Qin Wang: Energy Development Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid, Guangzhou 510663, China
Rongfeng Deng: Energy Development Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid, Guangzhou 510663, China
Xi Liu: Energy Development Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid, Guangzhou 510663, China
Guori Huang: Energy Development Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid, Guangzhou 510663, China
Yuanzhe Zhu: Energy Development Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid, Guangzhou 510663, China
Binghao He: Energy Development Research Institute, China Southern Power Grid, Guangzhou 510663, China
Peng Wang: Guangzhou Institute of Energy Conversion, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China

Sustainability, 2025, vol. 17, issue 9, 1-28

Abstract: The rural revitalization strategy serves as a powerful engine, driving the coordinated development of urban and rural areas while propelling the modernization and increasing the quality of China’s construction. Based on the Asia-Pacific Integrated Model (AIM/Enduse model), this study constructed a Rural Areas in Guangdong model (RG-Enduse model) applicable to rural areas in Guangdong Province, China. The model includes 18 types of terminal technological equipment which are subdivided into 5 types of service needs for rural residents on the demand side. Through a supply-side analysis, this study explores the coordinated development paths of energy supply and demand in rural areas under the rural revitalization strategy across three distinct scenarios. The results show that energy consumption in the baseline (BL) scenario and the low-carbon (CM1) scenario will both peak in 2025 at 17.46 million tce and 14.35 million tce, respectively, and also show a continuous downward trend in the green low-carbon (CM2) scenario, falling to 9.77 million tce by 2060. Electricity will be the dominant energy resource in the carbon neutral path to 2060, with CM2 and CM2, accounting for 78.78% and 80.61% of green electricity consumption, respectively. In addition, the utilization of carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS) for thermal power will be indispensable to ensure the stability of the green power supply.

Keywords: rural revitalization; rural energy; energy supply-demand synergy; technological substitution; carbon neutrality; RG-Enduse model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/9/4055/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/9/4055/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:9:p:4055-:d:1646798

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().