Analysis and Prediction of Changes in Coastline Morphology in the Bohai Sea, China, Using Remote Sensing

Ying Fu, Qiaozhen Guo, Xiaoxu Wu, Hui Fang and Yingyang Pan
Additional contact information
Ying Fu: School of Geology and Geomatics, Tianjin Chengjian University, Jinjing Road, Tianjin 300384, China
Qiaozhen Guo: School of Geology and Geomatics, Tianjin Chengjian University, Jinjing Road, Tianjin 300384, China
Xiaoxu Wu: College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Hui Fang: College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China
Yingyang Pan: School of Geology and Geomatics, Tianjin Chengjian University, Jinjing Road, Tianjin 300384, China

Sustainability, 2017, vol. 9, issue 6, 1-14

Abstract: Coastline change reflects the dynamics of natural processes and human activity, and influences the ecology and environment of the coastal strip. This study researched the change in coastline and sea area of the Bohai Sea, China, over a 30-year period using Landsat TM and OLI remote sensing data. The total change in coastline length, sea area, and the centroid of the sea surface were quantified. Variations in the coastline morphology were measured using four shape indexes: fractal dimension, compact ratio, circularity, and square degree. Equations describing fit of the shape index, coastline length, and marine area were built. Then the marine area 10 years later was predicted using the model that had the highest prediction accuracy. The results showed that the highest prediction accuracy for the coastline length was obtained using a compound function. When a cubic function was used to predict the compact ratio, then the highest prediction accuracy was obtained using this compact ratio and a quadratic function to predict sea area. This study can provide theoretical support for the coastal development planning and ecological environment protection around the Bohai Sea.

Keywords: coastline change; shape index; fitting; prediction (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O13 Q Q0 Q2 Q3 Q5 Q56 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

Downloads: (external link)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/9/6/900/pdf (application/pdf)
https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/9/6/900/ (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:6:p:900-:d:99970

Access Statistics for this article

Sustainability is currently edited by Ms. Alexandra Wu

More articles in Sustainability from MDPI
Bibliographic data for series maintained by MDPI Indexing Manager ().