The Competitive Dynamics of Mexican Fresh Grapes in the U.S. Market

Domicio Cano-Espinosa () and Jaciel Ramsés Méndez-León
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Domicio Cano-Espinosa: Faculty of Economics, Universidad de Panama, Panama City 0819-07289, Panama
Jaciel Ramsés Méndez-León: Department of Economics, Universidad de Sonora, Hermosillo 83000, Mexico

World, 2025, vol. 6, issue 1, 1-13

Abstract: This study evaluated the competitive performance of Mexican fresh grape exports in the United States market from 2002 to 2022. Over this period, Mexican exports exhibited a pronounced declining trend, while competitors such as Chile and Peru significantly increased their market shares. Employing the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) index and Constant Market Share analysis (CMSA), the growth dynamics of the export performance were systematically decomposed. The findings reveal a substantial contraction in Mexico’s export volumes and market share, which plummeted from 27.5% in 2002 to a mere 6.1% in 2022, alongside a marked decline in its RCA from 2.4 to 0.3. In stark contrast, Peru demonstrated remarkable growth, expanding its market share from 0.7% to 39.4%, driven by structural advantages and superior competitiveness. While Chile maintained consistent export volumes, it experienced a relative decline in its market share, ceding ground to emerging players like Peru. The analysis underscores the structural and competitive challenges confronting Mexico in the U.S. fresh grape market, emphasizing the urgent need for strategic policy interventions. These should focus on enhancing productivity, capitalizing on market opportunities, and bolstering agricultural competitiveness. Peru’s success underscores the critical role of dynamic production strategies and alignment with evolving market demands in securing sustained export growth.

Keywords: competitiveness; revealed comparative advantage; constant market share; fresh grapes; agricultural sector (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G15 G17 G18 L21 L22 L25 L26 Q42 Q43 Q47 Q48 R51 R52 R58 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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