THE VALIDITY OF THE FISHER EFFECT FOR AN INFLATION TARGETING COUNTRY: THE CASE OF TURKEY

Sinem Pınar Gürel
Additional contact information
Sinem Pınar Gürel: Pamukkale University, Faculty of Administrative Sciences

Ekonomski pregled, 2021, vol. 72, issue 5, 697-717

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to investigate the relationship between interest and inflation rates. In this regard, the validity of the Fisher Effect under an inflation targeting regime country is examined by considering the possibility of non-linearities. To this aim, the Fisher Effect is analysed by using various types of interest rates to identify the short-, mid- and long-term dynamics. Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) and non-linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) models were estimated for Turkish economy between 2006-2019 periods. The empirical findings of ARDL models reveal the validity of Fisher Effect both for short and long run. The results of NARDL models indicate a strong Fisher Effect in the long run, except for 5-year government bonds. For short-run, the Fisher Effect holds only when inflation rises and there is no significant result when inflation decreases.

Keywords: Fisher Effect; inflation rageting; ARDL; NARDL (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E32 E40 E43 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.32910/ep.72.5.3 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hde:epregl:v:72:y:2021:i:5:p:697-717

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
Ekonomski pregled, Hrvatsko društvo ekonomista, Heinzelova 4a, 10000 Zagreb, Croatia
http://www.hde.hr/pregled_en.aspx

Access Statistics for this article

Ekonomski pregled is currently edited by Josip Tica

More articles in Ekonomski pregled from Hrvatsko društvo ekonomista (Croatian Society of Economists) Contact information at EDIRC.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Josip Tica ().