Diversity in Foresight: A Practice of Selection of Innovation Ideas

Ville Brummer (), Totti Könnölä and Ahti Salo ()
Additional contact information
Ville Brummer: Systems Analysis Laboratory, Helsinki University of Technology (Finland)
Ahti Salo: Systems Analysis Laboratory, Helsinki University of Technology (Finland)

Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), 2010, vol. 4, issue 4, 56-68

Abstract: The paper investigates an experience of accounting a range of diverse viewpoints when dealing with major objectives of Foresight — priority-setting, networking and consensual vision-building. The relevant practice has a special meaning in contexts characterized by technological discontinuities and high uncertainties. The basic method in this case is the Scanning of Weak Signals. The authors propose to increase the performance of this tool by focusing on promising innovative ideas that will provide more focused, action-oriented, and comparable reflections of future developments. For the analysis of such ideas it is recommended to use a collaborative foresight method — Robust Portfolio Model (RPM) Screening. It envisages several phases, including generation, revision, multi-criteria evaluation, and portfolio analysis of innovative ideas.The paper presents the experience of Finland where this method was employed to enhance the operation of the ongoing Foresight Forum. Encouraging results from this project suggest that RPM Screening can be highly effective in foresight processes and the development of shared research agendas. Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: foresight; portfolio modeling; innovation processes; multi-criteria decision analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C00 O32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

Downloads: (external link)
http://foresight-journal.hse.ru/data/2011/11/28/1271013948/56-68.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hig:fsight:v:4:y:2010:i:4:p:56-68

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015) from National Research University Higher School of Economics
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Nataliya Gavrilicheva () and Mikhail Salazkin ().