Modeling Transmission of Tuberculosis with MDR and Undetected Cases

Yongqi Liu, Zhendong Sun, Guiquan Sun, Qiu Zhong, Li Jiang, Lin Zhou, Yupeng Qiao and Zhongwei Jia

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2011, vol. 2011, 1-12

Abstract:

This paper presents a novel mathematical model with multidrug-resistant (MDR) and undetected TB cases. The theoretical analysis indicates that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if ; otherwise, the system may exist a locally asymptotically stable endemic equilibrium. The model is also used to simulate and predict TB epidemic in Guangdong. The results imply that our model is in agreement with actual data and the undetected rate plays vital role in the TB trend. Our model also implies that TB cannot be eradicated from population if it continues to implement current TB control strategies.

Date: 2011
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hin:jnddns:296905

DOI: 10.1155/2011/296905

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