Prediction of Regional Logistics Heat and Coupling Development between Regional Logistics and Economic Systems

Guojun Yin, Jianhui Peng and Daqing Gong

Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society, 2021, vol. 2021, 1-9

Abstract: The research on logistics heat facilitates the understanding of the drivers of regional logistics development. However, many scholars ignore the difference between prediction methods in terms of attributes and focal points of data analysis during the selection of regional logistics heat prediction model. Regional logistics interacts with regional economy. However, the studies on the coupling development between the two systems fail to make a detailed analysis in the light of their actual situation. Therefore, the evaluation of the coordination degree is often biased. To solve the problem, this paper probes into the prediction of regional logistics heat and the coupling development between regional logistics and economic systems. Firstly, an index system was established to measure the level of coupling development between the two systems, and a grey relational analysis was performed on the indices, leading to the evaluation results on coordination degree. Next, a composite model of GM (1, 1) and backpropagation (BP) neural network was proposed, and the deviation interval of the composite predictions was predicted based on Markov chain prediction model. The proposed algorithm proved effective through experiments.

Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hin:jnddns:8170234

DOI: 10.1155/2021/8170234

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