Investigating the Effect of Momentum Strategies on Investment Success in the Iran Stock Market

Mohammad Kazem Emadzade (), Amir Hossein Hosseini (), Mohammadali Shirazipour () and Morteza Shokhmgar ()
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Mohammad Kazem Emadzade: University of Isfahan
Amir Hossein Hosseini: University of Isfahan
Mohammadali Shirazipour: Islamic Azad University
Morteza Shokhmgar: University of Isfahan

International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, 2013, vol. 3, issue 1, 149-157

Abstract: One of the most challenging observations in the capital market is that in contrary to the work market hypothesis, the regular portfolio’s returns shows specific behaviors in different time periods and therefore it’s possible to acquire higher returns than the market by following the investment strategy compatible with the intended time horizon. George and Hwang (2004) show that a stock’s 52-week high price explains the momentum effect and that a strategy based on closeness to the 52- week high has better forecasting power for future returns than those strategies based on past returns. Cahan shows that absolute 52high price is better than 52high momentum for forecasting power for future. We demonstrate that the 52-week high and absolute 52high momentum strategies are robust in Iran Stock Market(ISM) over the period 2004–2008. Our sample exhibit statistically significant profits when implementing this 52-week high for 3, 6 and 12 month holding periods and 6 month holding period for absolute 52high momentum strategy. Then we measure its investment performance on the basis of the Fama and French 3-Factor to measure incremental performance. Our findings show that the 52-week high strategy generates significant, positive risk-adjusted returns within the framework of the Fama/French 3-Factor Model.

Keywords: Momentum trading strategies; 52high Momentum strategy; absolute 52high momentum strategy; size (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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