The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Nigerian Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation

J.O. Adeniran, S.A. Yusuf and Olatoke A. Adeyemi

International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, 2014, vol. 4, issue 8, 224-233

Abstract: This research study examined the impact of exchange rate on economic growth from 1986 to 2013. The main type of data used in this study is secondary; sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin of various issues. From 1986 being the year the monetary authority shifted from fixed exchange rate regime to flexible exchange rate regime to 2013. The correlation and regression analysis of the ordinary least square (OLS) were used to analyze the data. The result revealed that exchange rate has positive impact but not significant with (ß =0.014, t = 1.783, Pns) this is affirms previous studies that developing countries are relatively better off in the choice of flexible exchange rate regimes. The result also indicated that interest rate and rate of inflation have negative impact on economic growth but not significant with (ß = - 0.002, t = - 0.015, Pns) and (ß = -0.023, t = - 0.716, Pns) respectively. Therefore, the paper recommended that government should encourage the export promotion strategies in order to maintain a surplus balance of trade and also conducive environment, adequate security, effective fiscal and monetary, as well as infrastructural facilities should be provided so that foreign investors will be attracted to invest in Nigeria.

Keywords: Exchange Rate; Interest Rate; Inflation Rate; Economic Growth; Liberalization and Nigeria (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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