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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS WITH ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

Birol Yildiz and Ari Yezegel

The International Journal of Business and Finance Research, 2010, vol. 4, issue 1, 149-158

Abstract: This study performs fundamental analysis and cross-sectional prediction of stock return with neural network technology. Eighteen financial ratios are used as the input vector and one-year ahead stock returns are used as the output vector. The fundamental analysis trading strategy generated by artificial neural networks yields an average annual abnormal return of 22.32% after controlling for market risk, book-to-market, size and momentum effects. Our results highlight neural network’s ability to predict future returns in NYSE/AMEX/Nasdaq securities for the period 1990-2005. Artificial neural network technology stands out as a valuable tool for fundamental analysis and forecasting equity returns in the U.S. markets.

Keywords: Fundamental Analysis; Stock Market; Neural Network (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C45 G11 M41 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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