Factors Affecting Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) Stock Market Return in Malaysia

Uma Murthy, Paul Anthony and Rubana Vighnesvaran

International Journal of Business and Management, 2016, vol. 12, issue 1, 122

Abstract: This paper studies the relationship between Kuala Lumpur Composite Index Stock Market Return with four macroeconomic determinants, namely interest rate, exchange rate, money supply and oil price from January 1997 to December 2015 on a monthly basis with a total of 228 observations. However, most of the studies are carried out in developed countries and large economic nations instead of in emerging markets such as Malaysia. Thus, this study aims to extend the existing studies to include the impact of several macroeconomics determinants namely interest rate, exchange rate, money supply and oil price on KLCI stock market return. This paper employed Multiple Linear Regression to examine the statistical relationship and to test the hypotheses. The data was analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Science, SPSS. For diagnostic checking, there is existence of autocorrelation problem which is typically found in time-series data. Results indicated that there is negative relationship between exchange rate and stock market return and positive relationship between money supply and stock market return. Interest rate and oil price are found to have insignificant relationship with stock market return.

Date: 2016
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