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Volatility Estimation via Jump Indicator

R. Aboulaich, H. Ben Ameur and M. Lamarti Sefian

Modern Applied Science, 2014, vol. 8, issue 2, 12

Abstract: The volatility is considered constant in Black and Scholes model. However, this implausible assumption leads to an undervaluation of options. We try to remediate to this drawback considering a more realistic model where the volatility is a piecewise constant function of time. We introduce a jump indicator to locate iteratively discontinuities of volatility and use an optimization process to estimate volatility values. We compare our results with regularization method (Aboulaich & Medarhri, 2013) and "AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity" ARCH method (Engle, 1982).

Date: 2014
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