IS INDONESIA’S CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE OPTIMAL? EVIDENCE FROM AN INTERTEMPORAL APPROACH

Bhavesh Garg and K.P. Prabheesh
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K.P. Prabheesh: Indian Institute of Technology Ropar

Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, 2022, vol. 25, issue Special Issue, 1-18

Abstract: This study investigates whether Indonesia’s Current Account (CA) balance is intertemporally solvent. We provide fresh evidence on Indonesia’s CA deficit solvency by considering post-crisis period data and conducting sub-sample analysis. Our findings suggest that Indonesia’s CA is not solvent. We notice evidence of excess lending prior to the global financial crisis of 2008 and excess borrowing in the post-crisis period. Policymakers need to focus on the composition of capital flows and management of volatile capital flows since discouraging foreign capital inflows may serve as a deterrent to economic growth.

Keywords: Current account; Cointegration; Consumption-smoothing; Intertemporal solvency; Present value model (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E21 F30 F32 F42 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:idn:journl:v:25:y:2022:i:spc:p:1-18

DOI: 10.21098/bemp.v25i0.1843

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