Theoretical and methodical foundations of assessment of foreign economic security of Ukraine

Gorbatov Valeriy M. and Grigorova-Berenda Larisa I.
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Gorbatov Valeriy M.: Research Centre of Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of Ukraine
Grigorova-Berenda Larisa I.: Research Centre of Industrial Problems of Development of NAS of Ukraine

The Problems of Economy, 2013, issue 1, 34_42

Abstract: The article considers problems of assessment of foreign economic security of a country. It proves that when solving the task of analysis, assessment and modelling economic security of a state, the central place belongs to the problem of selection of the system of criteria, which would properly reflect the existing state of economy of states in a specific moment of time. It considers properties of such criteria. It analyses essence of criteria of assessment of foreign economic security. It develops a structural scheme of assessment of foreign economic security of the state, in accordance to which it is offered to consider foreign economic security as a set of three components: trade, financial and investment, and banking and credit ones. It offers a methodical approach to assessment of foreign economic security of the state, which is based on calculation of an integral indicator of security as an arithmetical mean of its components. The proposed approached is used for calculation and analysis of the level of integral indicator of foreign economic security of Ukraine in 2010 - 2011 and study of the dynamics of the level of private indicators of its three components. It builds an equation of linear regression dependence of the integral indicator of foreign economic security of a country on time and it is used as a basis for calculating forecast value of the indicator of foreign economic security of Ukraine for 2012.

Keywords: foreign economic security; assessment; country; criterion; integral indicator (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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