 Capital mobility, intertemporal current account balance and currency crisisHo-Don Yan () Global Business and Economics Review, 2003, vol. 5, issue 2, 297-315 Abstract: From the perspective of the intertemporal balance model, we investigate how capital mobility affects the current account for six developing countries from the mid-1970s to the end of 1999. We find that after 1989, when capital liberalisation became prevalent, the causal relationship from the financial account to the current account is quite significant, while prior to 1989 the direction of causality is reversed for most of these countries. An exception is Taiwan, in which the current account retains dominance over the financial account. An impulse response analysis illustrates that due to the laggard response of the current account to a financial account shock, capital flows can drive the current account out of a sustainable path. Without a sound financial system and well-managed macroeconomic policies to channel inflowing capital, countries recklessly liberalising capital restrictions are susceptible to a currency crisis. Keywords: capital mobility; developing countries; intertemporal current account balance; currency crisis; current account; financial account; Taiwan; capital flows; capital liberalisation; balance of payment crises; Mexico; Argentina; Indonesia; South Korea; Thailand. (search for similar items in EconPapers) Downloads: (external link) Related works: Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ids:gbusec:v:5:y:2003:i:2:p:297-315 Access Statistics for this article More articles in Global Business and Economics Review from Inderscience Enterprises Ltd |
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