A prospective study of the determinants of economic growth in Tunisia 1990–2030

Fayza Jallouli, Tarek Yalouli, Sonali Vyas and Sunil Gupta

International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, 2025, vol. 21, issue 2, 105-127

Abstract: The research reported in this work is to shed light on the nature of the relationship between economic growth and many economic variables in Tunisia between 1990–2021. This study is based on the theoretical framework of economic growth, and it aimed to build an econometric model of economic growth based on interpreted economic variables. The findings of our research showed that both public expenditure, human capital, and trade openness were considered the most influential factors on economic growth in Tunisia during the study period. However, the two economic variables such as physical capital and money supply were considered as the least influential factors on economic growth. It is worth noting that we tried to build a standard model of economic growth based on explanatory economic variables to make a forecast study of the growth of the gross domestic product and knowledge of the expectations and forecasts for the period 2021–2030.

Keywords: economic growth; gross domestic product; GDP; ARDL model; ARIMA model; Eviews; Tunisia. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ids:ijcist:v:21:y:2025:i:2:p:105-127

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