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Egypt-US commodity trade and the J-curve

Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee () and Amr Hosny ()

International Journal of Economics and Business Research, 2013, vol. 5, issue 2, 115-127

Abstract: Almost 73% of trade between Egypt and the USA involves the 36 industries for which continuous quarterly data are available over the period 1994I to 2007IV. We take advantage of this rich data set and test the J-curve hypothesis for each of the 36 industries. By relying upon a new definition of the J-curve, i.e., short-run deterioration combined with the long-run improvement of the trade balance subsequent to currency depreciation, we find evidence in support of the new definition in 16 industries. Previous research that used aggregate trade data could not support the phenomenon.

Keywords: J-curve; Egypt; USA; United States; commodity trade; short-run deterioration; long-run improvement; trade balances; currency depreciation; aggregate data; trade data; economics; business research. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2013
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