Estimation of fiscal multipliers for India

Bibhuti Ranjan Mishra and Bharadwaja Sastry Adiraju

International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies, 2025, vol. 21, issue 1, 64-90

Abstract: The multiplier remains an effective tool to evaluate the effects of the changes in government expenditure. In this paper, we estimate five multipliers using the SVAR framework. We report impact multipliers in the range 0.23 to 1.85 and cumulative multipliers in the range 0.45 to 5.45. Our results are in line with empirical literature and have important implications for the Government of India's fiscal stance. We point out that since capital expenditure multipliers are greater than revenue expenditure multipliers, the government must rationalise revenue expenditure and spend more on building productive capital. Secondly, we recommend that capital budgets should be optimised towards components that provide the most productive effects. Finally, in light of the coronavirus-induced economic crisis, we recommend caution to ensure that greater revenue expenditure does not crowd out private investment and that a calibrated and coordinated monetary policy will be essential in tackling this issue.

Keywords: fiscal multipliers; fiscal policy; India. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=145416 (text/html)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ids:ijepee:v:21:y:2025:i:1:p:64-90

Access Statistics for this article

More articles in International Journal of Economic Policy in Emerging Economies from Inderscience Enterprises Ltd
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sarah Parker ().