An accurate prediction of environmental carrying capacity of tourist attractions under the coupling influence of multiple factors

Jie Luo

International Journal of Environmental Technology and Management, 2025, vol. 28, issue 4/5/6, 280-297

Abstract: In order to overcome the problems of low coordination degree of multi-factor coupling, large deviation of prediction results and low subordinate degree of multi-factor coupling in traditional prediction methods, an accurate prediction method of environmental carrying capacity of tourist attractions under the coupling influence of multiple factors is proposed. The multi-factors influencing the environmental carrying capacity of tourist attractions are described by three elements, and the membership degree of multi-factors is calculated by fuzzy matter-element analysis. The weight coefficient of the influencing factors is determined, so as to build an accurate prediction model, and the influencing factors are added into the model to get accurate prediction results. The experimental analysis has revealed that the utmost level of harmony exhibited in the integration of multiple factors through this approach can attain an exceptional 100% congruency, the prediction deviation rate of bearing capacity is 0.12%, and the membership degree of multi-factor coupling is high.

Keywords: coupling influence of multiple factors; tourist attractions; environmental carrying capacity; weight coefficient. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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