Dynamic analysis of biomass resources with a global land use and energy model

Hiromi Yamamoto, Kenji Yamaji, Junichi Fujino

International Journal of Global Energy Issues, 1998, vol. 11, issue 1/2/3/4, 91-103

Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to evaluate global bioenergy potential in consideration of land use competition using a global land use and energy model (GLUE) formulated with a system dynamics (SD) technique and a biomass balance table (BBT) that can show overall biomass flow and bioenergy potential quantitatively. Through a set of simulations, the following results were obtained: (1) The mature forest area in the developing region of the world will decrease from 2.1 billion hectares in 1990 to 0. 8 billion hectares in 2100, although we assume that perfect reforestation will be achieved by 2050; (2) There will be a large energy potential of biomass residues in the developing region. The maximum bioenergy potential in the developing region will be equal to 336 EJ/yr in 2100; (3) The global potential of energy crops will be strongly affected by variation of animal food demand in the developing region.

Keywords: bioenergy potential; biomass flow; biomass balance table, land use model; energy model; system dynamics. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 1998
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ids:ijgeni:v:11:y:1998:i:1/2/3/4:p:91-103

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