Quantifying the influence of future disruptive scenarios to priorities of energy supply chains systems of liquified petroleum gas

Ayedh Almutairi, Fatmah Alfaqeeh, Zachary A. Collier and James H. Lambert

International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, 2025, vol. 50, issue 4, 555-578

Abstract: The availability of liquified petroleum gas (LPG) is especially critical for commercial and residential users. A risk assessment framework has been established to track risk scenarios and to address the level of disruptions on the priority orders of initiatives under the influences of scenarios. It demonstrated in an LPG facility in the State of Kuwait with 17 emergent conditions, 3 scenarios, 15 initiatives, and 4 evaluation criteria. The shutting down of one centre and the shutting down of two centres were the most disruptive scenarios. The highest ranked initiatives are: Increasing the number of workers for inspection, having random weekly inspections, and having monthly maintenance, respectively. However, these initiatives are the least robust to disruptive scenarios' impact. The initiative, raising customers' awareness of how to safely use LPG cylinders, has the least priority ranking order but is the most robust initiative to the influence of scenarios.

Keywords: energy supply; risk analysis; emergent conditions; scenario-based preference model; liquified petroleum gas system. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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