S-Curve dynamics of trade between Egypt and her two largest partners
Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee () and
Amr Hosny ()
International Journal of Trade and Global Markets, 2012, vol. 5, issue 2, 142-152
The 'S-Curve' phenomenon postulates that while cross correlation coefficients between past values of the trade balance and current exchange rate could be negative, the same cross-correlation between future values of the trade balance and current exchange rate could be positive. In this study, we test the S-Curve using bilateral trade data between Egypt and its two largest trading partners. We test the phenomenon for 36 industries (59 industries) that trade between Egypt and USA (Egypt and EU). Out of a total of 95 industries, we were able to support the S-Curve hypothesis in 20, mostly small, industries.
Keywords: S-curve dynamics; Egypt; USA; United States; European Union; EU; commodity trade; trade balance; exchange rate; bilateral trade; past values; cross-correlation; future values. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ids:ijtrgm:v:5:y:2012:i:2:p:142-152
Access Statistics for this article
More articles in International Journal of Trade and Global Markets from Inderscience Enterprises Ltd
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Carmel O'Grady (). This e-mail address is bad, please contact .