Optimising a bank's credit portfolio
Annshirley Aba Afful,
Michael Kofi Asare and
Raymond Benjamin Afful
International Journal of Applied Management Science, 2016, vol. 8, issue 1, 68-82
Abstract:
The purpose of this paper is to show the practical application of linear programming and logistic regression models in the formulation of an optimal bank credit policy. Firstly, we formulate a linear programming model and develop a solution (using the simplex algorithm) that optimally allocates funds, where a financial institution is facing the problem of allocation of limited funds among different types of loans/advances at different markup/interest rates with varying degree of risk (bad debts). We go further, after optimal allocation of funds, to propose a binary logistic regression model (BLRM) to discriminate loan defaulters from non-defaulters. The study revealed that the available funds of GH¢166 million for credit facilities will yield a return of GH¢35.25 million after allocation. Four important influences were identified and the LR proposed predicts that about 80% of prospective customers are likely not to default.
Keywords: optimisation; bank credit portfolio; loans; optimal fund allocation; linear programming; logistic regression modelling; credit policy; limited funds; credit risk; loan defaults; default risk; financial institutions; banking industry. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ids:injams:v:8:y:2016:i:1:p:68-82
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