Prediction of acquisitions and portfolio returns
Chrysovalantis Gaganis () and
International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, 2009, vol. 1, issue 4, 381-406
Over recent decades, the forecasting and prediction of stock market acquisitions have been subject to increased interest due to the economic importance for various stakeholders. This study consists of two stages: dealing with the development of prediction models and their subsequent use within an investment strategy. During the first stage, we explore the ability to predict the acquisition of listed firms in the UK. In the second stage of the analysis, we explore whether it is possible to earn abnormal returns by investing in portfolios consisted of the predicted targets. The training sample includes 658 listed companies half of which were acquired between 2001 and 2005. The validation sample consists of 1,576 listed firms, of which 416 were acquired during 2006. The results indicate that the portfolios can generate abnormal returns of up to 4.78% depending on the investment horizon and the methodology employed.
Keywords: stock market acquisitions; investment portfolios; predictions; portfolio returns; prediction models; UK; United Kingdom. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ids:injbaf:v:1:y:2009:i:4:p:381-406
Access Statistics for this article
More articles in International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance from Inderscience Enterprises Ltd
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Sarah Parker ().