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Simulation of Stock Prediction System using Artificial Neural Networks

Omisore Olatunji Mumini, Fayemiwo Michael Adebisi, Ofoegbu Osita Edward and Adeniyi Shukurat Abidemi
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Omisore Olatunji Mumini: Centre for Information Technology and Systems, University of Lagos, Lagos, Nigeria
Fayemiwo Michael Adebisi: Department of Computer Science, Oduduwa University Ipetumodu, Ile Ife, Nigeria
Ofoegbu Osita Edward: Department of Computer Science, Oduduwa University Ipetumodu, Ile Ife, Nigeria
Adeniyi Shukurat Abidemi: Department of Computer Science, Oduduwa University Ipetumodu, Ile Ife, Nigeria

International Journal of Business Analytics (IJBAN), 2016, vol. 3, issue 3, 25-44

Abstract: Stock trading, used to predict the direction of future stock prices, is a dynamic business primarily based on human intuition. This involves analyzing some non-linear fundamental and technical stock variables which are recorded periodically. This study presents the development of an ANN-based prediction model for forecasting closing price in the stock markets. The major steps taken are identification of technical variables used for prediction of stock prices, collection and pre-processing of stock data, and formulation of the ANN-based predictive model. Stock data of periods between 2010 and 2014 were collected from the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) and stored in a database. The data collected were classified into training and test data, where the training data was used to learn non-linear patterns that exist in the dataset; and test data was used to validate the prediction accuracy of the model. Evaluation results obtained from WEKA shows that discrepancies between actual and predicted values are insignificant.

Date: 2016
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